Cryptocurrency Exchanges Are Fighting to Escape Binance’s ...

Bitcoin market cycle update

Major Cycle Analysis
Note: Research data compiled from blockchain.info, coinmetrics and unchainedcapital.
Bitcoin
As we mentioned in our most recent edition (June) the Bitcoin price has decoupled from the underlying fundamental valuation according to the most relevant metrics. On chain metrics have been implying that Bitcoin is overbought throughout most of this rally. The NVTS ratio for example is seeing its highest levels in 18 months and has finally crossed the overbought level in sync with the most recent sell-off.
It is not uncommon for on-chain metrics and fundamentals to be completely ignored during these types of parabolic moves. The Bitcoin market is still made up majoritively by non-institutional investors and while capital from institutions and professional investors is flowing in gradually, we are currently trading in a very new and unsophisticated market.
This is one of the key reasons we are able to profit so reliably. Emotions run high, there are no trading bots with formulas sophisticated enough to truly know the true price of Bitcoin and the markets are irrational, driven in the most part by fear and greed.
The most recent price balloon to $14,000 followed by a sell off with volumes the largest we have seen since the November 2018 capitulation is one such example.
We will keep you, our traders, informed of any and all portfolio and position adjustments in our trading academy as we always do. I expect the volatility to be substantial, meaning any trading advice given here is likely to be outdated by the time you are reading this.
For this reason this newsletter will be shorter than usual with the majority of our focus now taken away from the fundamentals and onto the recent price action.
Who Is Selling?
The active portion of the total Bitcoin supply (coins that have moved within the last 3 months) has been increasing while all other bands remain flat or moving in the inverse direction (holders continue to hold).
The new sellers are mostly made up of traders and individuals that have been holding for 3-6 months. Some traders are locking profits, others are turning their outlook from bullish to bearish after the swift rise in price and others are selling out to buy more on the dips and increase their overall profits.
This type of trading environment is the fundamental basis for a market that makes higher lows and higher highs. As the sellers are only selling out in an attempt to buy back in at a lower price in the near future.
Long term holders appear to be unphased by the sharp increase in price with their eyes set on a much bigger goal than 100-200% profits. This is a strong fundamental indicator that we are at the beginning of a new long term market cycle. Combine this with the fact that 21.5% of coins have not moved at all in the last 5 years you begin to see that long term holders truly aren’t joining the ranks of sellers even after such a sharp increase in price.
Exchange Flows and Altcoins
We have been monitoring exchange inflows and outflows meticulously. We saw record outflows during April and May, which makes sense considering the majority of buyers during that period were long term investors looking to move their Bitcoin off exchange and into cold storage.
Recently we have noticed an extremely large increase in the inflows to Binance. Generally, a move of this proportion would suggest a sell off. I believe that the reason is twofold. Yes, there were funds moved to Binance to be sold during the most recent parabolic extension. However, it leaves the possibility that individuals may be thinking about moving Bitcoin into alts.
Since Bitcoin exploded in April, alts have significantly underperformed. One could theorise that as the blow off top from the most recent Bitcoin move settles, Bitcoin may trade sideways and create the opportunity for alt season to begin.
Bitcoin dominance has gone from around 50% to a whopping 63% at the end of June and we are still riding that Bitcoin wave right now, however we will be watching any advances in alts closely if Bitcoin appears to stabilise and positive sentiment returns to the altcoin market.
Safe trading - The Team at Boss Crypto
...
Taken from the Boss Crypto VIP research channel at https://bosscrypto.co/
submitted by BawsCole to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Crypto market cycle update

Major Cycle Analysis
Note: Research data compiled from blockchain.info, coinmetrics and unchainedcapital.
Bitcoin
As we mentioned in our most recent edition (June) the Bitcoin price has decoupled from the underlying fundamental valuation according to the most relevant metrics. On chain metrics have been implying that Bitcoin is overbought throughout most of this rally. The NVTS ratio for example is seeing its highest levels in 18 months and has finally crossed the overbought level in sync with the most recent sell-off.
It is not uncommon for on-chain metrics and fundamentals to be completely ignored during these types of parabolic moves. The Bitcoin market is still made up majoritively by non-institutional investors and while capital from institutions and professional investors is flowing in gradually, we are currently trading in a very new and unsophisticated market.
This is one of the key reasons we are able to profit so reliably. Emotions run high, there are no trading bots with formulas sophisticated enough to truly know the true price of Bitcoin and the markets are irrational, driven in the most part by fear and greed.
The most recent price balloon to $14,000 followed by a sell off with volumes the largest we have seen since the November 2018 capitulation is one such example.
We will keep you, our traders, informed of any and all portfolio and position adjustments in our trading academy as we always do. I expect the volatility to be substantial, meaning any trading advice given here is likely to be outdated by the time you are reading this.
For this reason this newsletter will be shorter than usual with the majority of our focus now taken away from the fundamentals and onto the recent price action.
Who Is Selling?
The active portion of the total Bitcoin supply (coins that have moved within the last 3 months) has been increasing while all other bands remain flat or moving in the inverse direction (holders continue to hold).
The new sellers are mostly made up of traders and individuals that have been holding for 3-6 months. Some traders are locking profits, others are turning their outlook from bullish to bearish after the swift rise in price and others are selling out to buy more on the dips and increase their overall profits.
This type of trading environment is the fundamental basis for a market that makes higher lows and higher highs. As the sellers are only selling out in an attempt to buy back in at a lower price in the near future.
Long term holders appear to be unphased by the sharp increase in price with their eyes set on a much bigger goal than 100-200% profits. This is a strong fundamental indicator that we are at the beginning of a new long term market cycle. Combine this with the fact that 21.5% of coins have not moved at all in the last 5 years you begin to see that long term holders truly aren’t joining the ranks of sellers even after such a sharp increase in price.
Exchange Flows and Altcoins
We have been monitoring exchange inflows and outflows meticulously. We saw record outflows during April and May, which makes sense considering the majority of buyers during that period were long term investors looking to move their Bitcoin off exchange and into cold storage.
Recently we have noticed an extremely large increase in the inflows to Binance. Generally, a move of this proportion would suggest a sell off. I believe that the reason is twofold. Yes, there were funds moved to Binance to be sold during the most recent parabolic extension. However, it leaves the possibility that individuals may be thinking about moving Bitcoin into alts.
Since Bitcoin exploded in April, alts have significantly underperformed. One could theorise that as the blow off top from the most recent Bitcoin move settles, Bitcoin may trade sideways and create the opportunity for alt season to begin.
Bitcoin dominance has gone from around 50% to a whopping 63% at the end of June and we are still riding that Bitcoin wave right now, however we will be watching any advances in alts closely if Bitcoin appears to stabilise and positive sentiment returns to the altcoin market.
Safe trading - The Team at Boss Crypto
...
Taken from the Boss Crypto VIP research channel at https://bosscrypto.co/
submitted by BawsCole to CryptoMarkets [link] [comments]

This ONE THING Is Stopping Bitcoin From BLASTOFF! A BIG Return Of Volatility Is Coming! Binance has by far cheapest Bitcoin options (May '20). Deribit & Okex the same. FTX hands down worst Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Lowest Level In 4 Months  Cryptocurrency News Garrison's NCLEX Tutoring - YouTube STRATEGI TRADING SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE #BITCOIN #BELAJARTRADING #STRATEGITRADING #BINANCE Binance SECRET Desktop Application Bybit Exchange Made Simple: Bitcoin Margin Trading and Leverage Tutorial Avoid Crypto Volatility & Get Paid in Stablecoins USDC - Circle Bitwage - Jonathan Chester Interview NITRO HUNTING Binance Altcoin Technical Analysis ADA - APPC  March 10 2020

Bitcoin’s daily volatility = Bitcoin’s standard deviation = √(∑(Bitcoin’s opening price – Price at N)^2 /N). For a general timeframe volatility calculation, use the following formula: √timeframe * √Bitcoin’s price variance. For example, the annualized volatility for Bitcoin would be √365 * Bitcoin’s daily volatility. The bitcoin options market looks to be predicting a pick up-in price volatility following the U.S. presidential election. The Crypto Volatility Index, or CVX, is now live as a beta test and proof of concept. The index tracks the implied volatility of crypto options in a similar fashion to the VIX index used in stock markets. The VIX is usually referred to as the “stock market fear index” as it often spikes in […] The Crypto Volatility Index, or CVX, is now live as a beta test and proof of concept. The index It’s impossible to assess the cryptocurrency landscape without considering Binance. It looms large over the industry, dictating trends, soaking up liquidity, and compelling new exchanges to ... Implied volatility is calculated using the Black Scholes option pricing formula. In simple terms, it is the difference between the expected actual stock price and the exercise price. It takes into account the life of an option, the risk-free interest rate in the market, and the expected volatility. The uncertain consequences caused by future events will help promote the Implied Volatility. The upcoming Bitcoin halving and various geopolitical events are likely to bring Bitcoin to a new high Implied Volatility period in 2020, which also facilitate the promotion of exchange options products. Analysis of Mainstream Options Exchanges The predicted market value for bitcoin after May 2020 halving is $1trn, which translates in a bitcoin price of $55,000.” @100trillionUSD’s S2F chart for gold, silver, and BTC . https://twitter ... Volatility is an important concept in altcoin trading. ... using current/historic vol won't give you same results as the VIX would, as that uses option prices to calc implied volatility, but for this I would think that the first method would work well enough? When I have some time I'll see if I can do some testing on some other ideas and I'll let you know! level 2 < 2 years account age. > 100 ... It tracks the implied volatility of a basket of crypto options, primarily for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Options are a derivative product that give buyers the option, but not the obligation, to purchase or sell an asset at a certain strike price and at a certain date in the future. To be able to do this, they pay sellers a premium, which generally depends on factors such as time until ...

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This ONE THING Is Stopping Bitcoin From BLASTOFF! A BIG Return Of Volatility Is Coming!

$15k bitcoin! 18 month bull run ahead! volatility when this happens! gov't turmoil fueling btc boom! VOLATILITY WHEN THIS HAPPENS! GOV'T TURMOIL FUELING BTC BOOM! Bitcoin Volatility Reaches Lowest Level In 4 Months. Why is everyone having Cold Feet? Let's discuss and other cryptocurrency news. Become a CryptosRus INSIDER to gain exclusive insight on the ... For tutoring please call 856.777.0840 I am a registered nurse who helps nursing students pass their NCLEX. I have been a nurse since 1997. I have worked in a... Binance Secret Desktop Application We also go some trading strategies and how to trade. We go what to look plus how to install the binance desktop applicatio... Bitcoin payroll provider Bitwage has begun offering employees a way of receiving wages paid in cryptocurrency, but without the volatility. Bitwage will co-market the service with Circle. Bitwage ... Will Bitcoin rally back to all time high? We discuss this, as well as do some altcoin analysis in today's video. We discuss this, as well as do some altcoin analysis in today's video. 95% Winning Forex Trading Formula - Beat The Market Maker📈 - Duration: 37:53. ... Major Bitcoin Volatility Coming! 📈 What You Need to Know! - Duration: 13:38. BlockRoots: Crypto Market ... #binance #altcoin #crypto-----Risk Disclaimer There is considerable risk in bitcoin, altcoin or world market trading, and may not be suitable for all investors. Any trading involves risks ... I forgot to mention, that the Binance options are American style vs all other options being European style. This means you can exercise a Binance option at a... #BITCOIN #BINANCE #INDODAX #PUZZLEOFTRADING #MONEYMAGNET #TRADINGSYSTEM #TRADERINDONESIA #BITCOININDONESIA TAG: strategi trading support resistance strategi trading dengan support resistance ...

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